Bitcoin, SHIB Defy Latest 2.8% PCE Print, Rate Cut Hopes Fade

January 22, 2026
Bitcoin, SHIB Defy Latest 2.8% PCE Print, Rate Cut Hopes Fade
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Bitcoin and Shiba Inu (SHIB) ignored a stagnant inflation report Thursday. The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index rose 2.8% year-over-year in December. 

Key Points

  • Federal Reserve PCE data matched estimates at 2.8% YoY on Friday, signaling that inflation remains stagnant above the 2% target.
  • Bitcoin held $90,000 and Shiba Inu maintained $0.000008, showing market resilience despite high consumer spending figures.
  • Analysts warn that sticky inflation creates a direct conflict between the Fed’s mandate and Executive demands for rate cuts.

The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported figures that matched analyst expectations exactly. Digital assets held their ground as market focus moved toward broad central bank strategy. Bitcoin maintained its position near $90,000 during the morning session. SHIB remained steady near $0.000008.

Headline PCE and Core PCE both rose 0.2% month-over-month. The annual rate for both metrics remained at 2.8%. Consumer demand persists. Personal expenditures increased 0.5% in December. Personal income rose 0.3% during the same period. The economy retains enough heat to keep prices elevated. High consumer spending complicates the path for the liquidity injections that typically fuel risk-asset rallies.

Stagnant Inflation and Federal Reserve Realities

Crypto markets typically react with high volatility to data surprises. The lack of a negative shock provides a net positive for the sector this week. Stagnant cooling presents a structural hurdle for digital assets. Inflation remains significantly above the Fed’s 2% mandate. The central bank currently lacks the data-driven justification to execute the aggressive rate cuts the market anticipated last year.

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Market analysts observe a fundamental shift in the current narrative. Inflation is not re-accelerating, but it’s also not cooling fast. The market now cares more about how the Federal Reserve handles liquidity guidance than the individual data points. The 2.8% annual reading represents the fastest tempo since April 2024. The trend contradicts the previous narrative regarding a rapid return to price stability.

SHIB Resilience Amid Recovery Phase

Sticky inflation reinforces a challenging environment for high-volatility assets like Shiba Inu. Delayed rate cuts often limit the liquidity boosts that propel meme coin rallies. SHIB mirrored the stability of the broader market on Thursday. Buyers face immediate technical resistance at $0.00000815. Broader market caution heightens the asset’s sensitivity to risk-off sentiment. Persistent high rates could amplify corrections if central bank hawks maintain their current stance.

Shiba Inu holders maintain a defensive posture as the ecosystem recovers from recent technical hurdles. On-chain data confirms that netflows grew over 200% in recent weeks. Token burns removed millions of units from the circulating supply. Active community participation provides a buffer against traditional market pressure. A dovish pivot in Federal Reserve guidance likely creates an upside path for SHIB later in the quarter.

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Political Pressure and the Rate Cut Squeeze

The report arrives as the Federal Reserve faces intensifying pressure from the executive branch. Current data impacts the calculus regarding President Trump’s demands for rate cuts. The administration favors lower borrowing costs to stimulate domestic manufacturing and the housing market. Holding rates high to fight sticky inflation creates a potential for direct confrontation between the Fed and the White House.

Investors are evaluating if the central bank will prioritize its 2% inflation target or capitulate to political liquidity demands. Federal Reserve officials have signaled no immediate appetite for aggressive hikes. Traders are monitoring upcoming Fed meetings for signals of a policy shift. A move toward easing likely pushes SHIB toward the $0.00001 threshold. Continued price stickiness in the traditional economy tests the $0.0000075 support floor.

Frequently Asked Questions

Bitcoin and Shiba Inu largely ignored the stagnant inflation data, maintaining their price levels of $90,000 and $0.000008 respectively. This lack of volatility indicates that the market had already priced in the 2.8% year-over-year increase. The reaction matters because it shows digital assets are decoupling from minor economic data shocks, focusing instead on broader liquidity trends.
The 2.8% reading suggests inflation is "sticky" and not cooling as fast as the Federal Reserve prefers, complicating the case for immediate rate cuts. With consumer spending up 0.5%, the economy retains enough heat to keep prices elevated. This matters because high interest rates typically restrict the liquidity needed to fuel rallies in high-risk assets like meme coins.
SHIB is showing defensive resilience, holding steady near $0.000008 despite the challenging macro headwinds. On-chain data shows netflows have grown over 200% recently, providing a buffer against selling pressure. This stability is crucial as the asset faces immediate technical resistance at $0.00000815 while waiting for a dovish Fed pivot.
The Trump administration is pressuring the Federal Reserve to cut rates to stimulate manufacturing and housing, while the Fed is constrained by inflation remaining above its 2% target. This creates a potential policy standoff between political demands for liquidity and the central bank's mandate for price stability. The outcome determines whether markets will see a liquidity injection or continued monetary tightening.
The "Inflation Wall" describes the current economic state where inflation has stopped falling and stabilized at a rate (2.8%) significantly higher than the Fed's goal. It contradicts previous narratives that promised a rapid return to 2% price stability. This structural hurdle forces investors to re-evaluate their timelines for the next crypto bull run.
YONA GUSHIKEN

YONA GUSHIKEN

Yona brings a decade of experience covering gaming, tech, and blockchain news. As one of the few women in crypto journalism, her mission is to demystify complex technical subjects for a wider audience. Her work blends professional insight with engaging narratives, aiming to educate and entertain.


Yona has no crypto positions and holds no crypto assets. This article is provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The Shib Daily is the official publication of the Shiba Inu cryptocurrency project. Readers are encouraged to conduct their own research and consult with a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.