Bitcoin ETF Outflows Spark Uncertainty, But Long-Term Bullishness Remains

February 20, 2025
Bitcoin ETF Outflows Spark Uncertainty, But Long-Term Bullishness Remains
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Recent Bitcoin ETF outflows arе injecting a dose of uncertainty into the cryptocurrency market, signaling a pause in the previously strong bullish mоmentum as investors grapple with broader economic anxieties.

Bitcoin (BTC) closed last week at approximately $96,120, a slight 0.4% decrease from the previous week. While the price remained relatively stable, underlying market sentiment has shifted. 

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BTC has traded within a narrow range of $94,000 to $100,000 for the past 13 trading days, exhibiting reduced volatility. This consolidation phasе reflects overall market uncertainty, largely due to macroeconomic concerns and anticipation surrounding the Federal Reserve’s (FED) and other major central banks’ future interest rate decisions.

Bitcoin ETF Outflows Break Six-Week Streak

The most notable development has been the outflow of nearly $600 million from Bitcoin spot ETFs in the past week. This ended a six-week streak of positive inflows, a shift that, while not unexpected, underscores the market’s sensitivity to external pressures. Historically, sustained periods of positive flows are often followed by a temporary downturn.

Matteo Greco, Research Analyst at the publicly listed digital asset and fintech investment business Fineqia International (CSE:FNQ), provided context for the recent Bitcoin ETF outflows. ā€œSince mid-September, this marks only the fourth week of negative flow, underscoring the strong demand and overall bullish sentiment for BTC-backed ETPs,” Greco shared in a note seen by The Shib Daily.Ā 

This indicates that despite the recent pullback, long-term interest in Bitcoin-backed investment products remains robust. Total net inflows since the inception of these ETFs total $40.1 billion, averaging over $3 billion per month.

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Ethereum ETFs Show Resilience

While Bitcoin ETFs experienced a downturn, Ethereum (ETH) spot ETFs displayed greater stability. They recorded a net inflow of approximately $12 million over the same period. 

This brings the total inflows for Ethereum ETFs since their launch to $3.2 billion, building upon the positive sentiment observed in Q4 2024. This divergence suggests potential investor diversification within digital asset portfolios or a bet on the long-term prospects of the Ethereum ecosystem.

Bitcoin ETF: Macroeconomic Indicators Hold the Key

The future direction of Bitcoin, Ethereum, and the broader cryptocurrency market is closely tied to macroeconomic developments. Shifting expectations regarding the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy are crucial.

“This reflects a phase of market consolidation and uncertainty, influenced by macroeconomic concerns and speculation over the Federal Reserve‘s (FED) and other major central banks’ future interest rate decisions,” Greco said.

Related: Crypto Titans Bunker Down Nоw: Vitalik’s Austerity Vow, Binance $1B Bitcoin Shield

Initially, market participants expected a 100-basis-point rate cut in 2025, following the trend from late 2024. However, recent inflation data, which came in higher than anticipated, have forсed a reassessment. Current expectations have shifted to a potential 25 or 50 basis-point cut, with the first cut now predicted for the summer and a second, if any, likely towards the year’s end.

The determining factors will be labor market strength and inflation trends. ā€œA weakening labor market alongside declining inflation could support additional rate cuts, whereas a robust labor market combined with persistent inflation may force the FED to maintain higher interest rates for longer,ā€ Greco said.Ā 

Investors keenly observe these key indicators for signals аbout the FED’s next actions and their potential impact on the cryptocurrency market. The recent Bitcoin ETF outflows could be a temporary reaction to this uncertainty, or a sign оf a longer-term shift.

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YONA GUSHIKEN

YONA GUSHIKEN

Yona brings a decade of experience covering gaming, tech, and blockchain news. As one of the few women in crypto journalism, her mission is to demystify complex technical subjects for a wider audience. Her work blends professional insight with engaging narratives, aiming to educate and entertain.


Yona has no crypto positions and holds no crypto assets. This article is provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The Shib Daily is the official publication of the Shiba Inu cryptocurrency project. Readers are encouraged to conduct their own research and consult with a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.

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